NOTE TO EDITORS:
The following statement was delivered by Premier Helen Zille during a press briefing today, 10 October 2018. Premier Zille was accompanied by the following Cabinet Ministers:
Minister of Economic Opportunities, Alan Winde, Minister of Community Safety, Dan Plato, Minister of Human Settlements and Leader of Government Business, Bonginkosi Madikizela, Minister of Education, Debbie Schäfer and Minister of Health, Nomafrench Mbombo.
The Western Cape Cabinet has today resolved to send a set of urgent demands to Police Minister Bheki Cele on the crisis of police under-resourcing in the Western Cape, where the police to population ratio is on average one third lower than the rest of the country. The greatest crisis is experienced at stations in precincts with the highest crime rate.
As a provincial government we have stretched our Constitutional powers of oversight to their limits, and supported SAPS through successful community partnerships in crime prevention where we have a constitutional mandate to act.
This includes the establishment of the O Regan/Pikoli Commission and the implementation of its recommendations by us, the promulgation of the Community Safety Act (which defined our oversight functions) and the creation of the Western Cape Ombudsman.
More recently, our initiatives have focused on specialised support to Neighbourhood Watches, Community Policing Forums, funding for School Resource Officers, strategic safety partnerships with the religious fraternity and various programmes aimed at our youth.
In addition, we have committed resources to supporting the police in trying to secure safety on our rail network through the establishment of a Rail Enforcement Unit, jointly funded by the Province, City and Prasa.
We have now analysed the 2018 crime stats in detail. It is clear that our efforts to support SAPS are working. This is evident in the reduction in the categories of crime where community partnerships can have a significant impact, for example the 6,8% decrease in property-related crime.
There was also a significant 23% increase in arrests over the same period, which is partly a result of increased willingness by the community to help and support the police in detecting criminals.
The City of Cape Town annual statistics also show that the City's municipal law enforcers arrested more than 12 000 people in the last year - 17% more than in 2016. This is very significant, but it must be stressed that the metro police mandate extends only to arrests. Investigations and convictions remain the domain of SAPS and the criminal justice system.
The statistics also show that the categories of crime that increased are murder (up 12,6%) and attempted murder (up 9,2%). Of all murders, 22% are gang-related.
These crime categories are not conducive to significant reduction through community involvement. It requires a resource-intensive response from SAPS as the temporary deployment of base camps in the hardest hit areas demonstrates. This underscores the need for a permanent presence, through higher levels of resourcing.
This is the reason we have consistently called for the re-instatement of specialised units, and the deployment of the SANDF in the hardest hit areas.
The greatest deterrent to crimes in these categories is high conviction rates. It is the unique responsibility of SAPS to investigate crime, gather evidence and present it to a court of law in a way that can secure convictions.
Conviction rates for gang-related crime, for example, are as low as 2% in some precincts and there is a 0% conviction rate for rail arson which, since 2015 has accounted for the loss of 175 rail carriages.
This is currently one of the weakest links in the criminal justice chain, and it is where the shortage of police personnel has the greatest impact. This is why it is so critical to ensure that the police are adequately resourced, and that vacancies are filled.
It is our considered conclusion that the effectiveness of the police service, in the combatting of certain crime categories and communities in the Western Cape, is currently below the threshold of service required of SAPS in terms of section 205 of the Constitution.
One of the central reasons for this is the consistent under-resourcing of SAPS personnel in the Western Cape – at visible policing level, in crime intelligence, in detective expertise, and in public order policing. In our view this is the major factor which has resulted in the disastrous crime statistics, once again.
The need to address our under-resourcing crisis has been confirmed by the Public Service Commission recently. The crisis is exacerbated by the lack of uptake or retention of police reservists, coupled with the huge spike in violent attacks to both our transport infrastructure and with respect to land occupations. This has left SAPS personnel in this province overwhelmed and demoralised.
In a letter issued to Police Minister Cele following today’s unanimous Cabinet resolution, we make these key demands:
We are committed to continuing doing everything in our constitutional mandate to support the SAPS and national government in their operational mandate for the prevention of crime and policing under the Constitution.
Province’s support to SAPS
The Provincial Government continues to push the limits of its oversight mandate, and promotes a Whole of Society approach to community safety.
In summary, our more recent efforts in this regard include:
Crime Reality
Despite all of these efforts, there remains an intractable problem with those categories of crime that require a specialised policing response, and proper resourcing of the SAPS.
The Western Cape Government’s analysis of the 2017/18 Crime Statistics has reached the following conclusions:
The crime stats further confirm that the Western Cape has 36% of all drug related crime in the country, and the highest increase of 9.1% overall in this category.
This Province also has 12 of the top 30 stations in the country for attempted murder, with 8 of these also appearing in the top 30 stations for murder. The country’s highest increase in illegal possession of firearms and ammunition (16.8%) was recorded in the Western Cape. Violent protests and land invasions are also sharply increasing and year-on-year there was a 53% increase in the number of land invasions recorded and a 249% increase in the number of protests.
Yesterday, the province was impacted by its 40th train burning incident since 2015, bringing the total number of destroyed carriages to 175. SAPS recently revealed that they have made only two arrests and gained zero convictions related to these incidents.
Commuters have also faced direct safety risks. Between 2015 and 2017, 32 murders and 114 incidents of assaults were reported on trains or in stations in the province, with only 12 arrests for murders and 59 arrests for assaults.
In 2014, over 608 000 people used trains daily in Cape Town. By 2017 this number dropped by over 60% to approximately 200 000 commuters using trains on a daily basis. Use of the Metrorail service has declined in the last 4 years, showing a direct link between the dysfunctional rail system and congestion on our roads.
It is clear that crime has a negative impact on the economy, it reduces productivity and perceptions of crime play a role in whether investors choose to invest in our region or not.
But crime doesn’t just affect existing businesses- it impacts those wishing to start a new business too. According to the Stats SA victims of crime survey, which gauges people’s perceptions of crime, 12.1% of South Africans were discouraged from starting a home business because of crime in their area.
The impact is felt in tourism as well. A cursory poll of tourists by the Western Cape Government found that 42% of respondents rule out a holiday destination because of a perception of crime.
Tourists spend between R20 and R30 billion per year in the province, therefore, even a one percent drop in visitor numbers due to perceptions of crime could cost the economy R200 million a year. This has an impact on our ability to create and sustain jobs in this important industry.
Police Under-resourcing Crisis
From our analysis of crime statistics, it is evident that where crime is highest, police are most under-resourced. The average police to population ratio for the City of Cape Town is 1 policeman per 560 residents, and the ratio for the Western Cape is 1 to 509. These figures exclude specialized units. This is well below the national average of 1 to 369. This also means that over the past two years, the Western Cape Provincial ratio has deteriorated from one police officer to every 385 people, down to one police officer to every 509 people.
In Cape Town, these numbers are even worse. In 2016, there was one police officer for every 439 people. In 2018, that number has risen to 560. This means in the Western Cape each officer is now serving an average of 124 more residents than in 2016.
The average police to population ratio for the stations with the highest counts of murder and attempted murder in this province are all far beyond the national average and include:
• Nyanga – 1 per 628;
• Philippi East – 1 per 344;
• Delft – 1 per 642;
• Khayelitsha – 1 per 521;
• Kraaifontein – 1 per 609;
• Gugulethu – 1 per 590;
• Mfuleni – 1 per 529;
• Harare – 1 per 745;
• Mitchells Plain – 1 per 472;
• Bishop Lavis – 1 per 442.
Further facts uncovered during the course of oversight by the Province and other stakeholders, includes:
Efforts to engage SAPS and National Government
The Western Cape has a long history of fighting for the necessary policing resources, with extensive efforts made by the Province, City, civil society and communities.
These include:
Demands Conclusion and Way Forward
One issue that stands central to all the investigations and research conducted in specifically the Western Cape, is the dissatisfaction regarding how SAPS allocates human resources – known as the Theoretical Human Resource Requirement model (THRR). As far back as the Khayelitsha Commission, it was found that this model has fundamental flaws.
In its findings, the Commission noted that:
“The THRR is not publicly available nor debated, even within SAPS or by the key oversight bodies, such as the national Parliament and the provincial legislature.”
Further that the data used to calculate the THRR was not necessarily accurate, and that environmental factors were not properly considered in allocating resources.
Little if anything has changed in this system, as is evident from the recent arguments presented by SAPS in the Equality Court matter on police resourcing.
I quote from these arguments:
“At its simplest, the system has been developed to calculate the number of posts per level required to perform the duties associated with police stations; referred to as the THRR; it represents the ideal number of employees to be placed at a specific station.
However, the number of posts allocated is not equal to the “ideal” and consequently allocated posts are equally distributed between all stations and referred to as “granted posts”. The number of granted posts is ultimately determined based on the annual budget allocation and the consequent equal distribution to the ideal allocation.”
In both our 2017 Policing Needs and Priorities (PNP) submission to the National Minister of Police, and my letter to him today we recommend that both the theoretical model, and the fixed establishment system of allocation needs to be changed. This echoes the demands that were made by the Social Justice Coalition in the recent court case referred to above, on which we are still awaiting judgment.
The crime reality faced by all too many residents in the province needs to be taken into account. As do the uniquely high levels of gang-related crime, drug crime and others identified in the 2017 PNP report.
All the above is contained in the provincial Cabinet’s letter to Police Minister Bheki Cele and forms the basis for us demanding an urgent allocation of additional policing personnel to the Western Cape via a supplementation of the Fixed Establishment of policing posts in the province.
Our Reservist Plan is also on his desk awaiting approval for the Western Cape Government to fund additional police reservist activity.
In order to give effect to the offer, we require the necessary approval to transfer funds to National Treasury (on condition that it is ring-fenced for the specified Western Cape Reservist Project). The necessary delegation to the Provincial Commissioner is also required to be put in place.
We are further willing to galvanize our 84 000 public service employees to assist SAPS with administrative support at stations.
Finally, we are calling for the filling of all critical SAPS vacancies within 6 months, in line with the PSC recommendation.
Yesterday the National Minister reportedly announced that SAPS will reintroduce the Bambanani Programme with money that is earmarked for policing. This is “solving the wrong problem” and although we support the involvement of local community structures in working for safety, we cannot expect civilians without training or equipment to fight gangs or reduce murders.
We will continue to work with the Minister but call on him to rather direct the available funds to trained professional police officers and detectives. We will never stop fighting on behalf of all Western Cape communities who are living in fear and oppression by gangs and violent crime.
Marcellino Martin
Spokesperson for Premier Helen Zille
082 721 3362
021 483 4584
marcellino.martin@westerncape.gov.za